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Trump increases pressure on the 'Caracas regime' every day, China and Russia abandon Maduro
2025-12-02 11:58:22 / BOTA
While Washington's pressure on Venezuela is constantly increasing with sources reporting that US President Donald Trump has sent an ultimatum to Nicolás Maduro to leave power, the Caracas regime sees that those it previously considered allies on the "front against imperialism", Moscow and Beijing, are following its fight for survival from afar.
For years, Venezuela had been at the forefront of the effort to build a bloc against the US, along with Russia, China, Iran and several Latin American countries, such as Cuba and Nicaragua.
With this network of alliances, he hoped to curb Washington's declared goal of regime change in Venezuela.
Now, as the crisis reaches its peak and Trump is "putting all his cards on the table" to solve the "Maduro problem," Cuba and Nicaragua are too weak to offer any help; Iran is trying to recover from the 12-day bombing and is looking for channels of communication with the West, so it has no interest in getting involved in a new crisis to support Maduro.
As for Venezuela's two biggest allies, Russia and China, they also have their own problems and complicated relations with Trump. Moscow cannot afford to open a new front after the exhausting war in Ukraine, especially at a time when relations between the Kremlin and Trump appear to be improving.
Beijing also seeks to avoid a damaging trade war with the US, and any involvement in the American hemisphere would only escalate tensions.
Neither Putin nor Xi Jinping seem willing to spend political capital to side with Maduro. In 2018, Russia sent two nuclear-capable strategic bombers to Venezuela in a show of support. But after four years of war in Ukraine, such a move now seems unlikely.
Despite a letter Maduro sent to Putin for help, the Russian president reportedly offered only two oil tankers to enable Caracas to export oil to China and generate some revenue.
On the other hand, Xi had made billions of dollars available in exchange for oil exports and, according to SIPRI reports, since 2020 alone China has provided military equipment worth over $30 billion, fueling Maduro's ambitions.
This axis against the US began during the time of Hugo Chavez, who exploited the country's vast reserves of oil and strategic minerals to secure political support from Iran, Cuba and Nicaragua, as well as financing from Russia and China.
But the alliance began to falter with declining oil production and political unrest after Maduro took power in 2013. The crisis escalated further with US sanctions on the oil industry in 2019.
The situation has now become even more serious, not only due to the deployment of significant US forces in the region, but also because - according to US media - Trump has signed a "secret presidential authorization" that gives the CIA extraordinary powers for covert operations, potentially including inside Venezuela.
Officially, Trump justifies the pressure with the fight against drug trafficking and the aim of restoring democracy to the country.
But it is clear that behind this lies the desire to control Venezuela's vast natural resources and reshape the political map of Latin America, starting with the overthrow of Maduro.
The fall of the Venezuelan regime would greatly weaken Cuba, which without the support of Caracas would face collapse within a few months, a traditional objective of American conservatives and Secretary of State Rubio, of Cuban origin.
Without Maduro, all of Latin America would be easier to influence by the US. But no one knows how far Trump is willing to go, even risking a military clash in Venezuela, counting on Russia and China to continue to keep their distance.
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