US and Israel strike Iran, global markets immediately shake

Air strikes launched by the United States and Israel on targets linked to Iran's military infrastructure marked a new escalation of the confrontation in the Middle East, according to Reuters reports.

The strikes, focused on facilities considered strategic for security and defense programs, came after a period of rising tensions in the region, prompting warnings of a response and international calls for restraint.

Recent developments have significantly increased the risk of disruptions to global energy supplies from the Persian Gulf region, a key hub for oil and gas trade. Markets reacted immediately with sharp fluctuations in oil prices, as investors increased exposure to safe assets in the face of geopolitical uncertainty.

The financial reaction was also reflected in rising insurance costs for maritime transport in energy corridors and in widening risk premiums for emerging market assets.

Analysts estimate that any prolonged disruption of exports from the region would translate into higher import costs for energy-dependent economies, fueling inflationary pressures and limiting the room for monetary policy easing.

For European and Asian economies with high dependence on energy imports, a prolonged period of tension is expected to translate into narrower industrial margins and rising production costs.

The transportation and manufacturing sectors remain most exposed to rising fuel prices, while energy and defense could see relative support from higher demand.

Investors are reviewing the outlook for global growth, with baseline scenarios predicting a slowdown in economic activity if tensions escalate or persist.

Uncertainty over supply flows and financing costs is expected to weigh on business and consumer confidence, increasing the likelihood of prolonged volatility in energy and financial markets./Monitor

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