FLASH NEWS
Weather heading for unusual phenomenon! Experts warn: We could have a "Super El Niño" this summer
2026-03-31 16:37:49 / AKTUALITET
Global temperatures could rise to unprecedented extremes, as climate experts warn that a "Super El Niño" looks likely.
Earlier this month, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) revealed that there is a 62 percent chance that El Niño will form this summer.
While model predictions are relatively less accurate at this time of year, the "increasing probabilities" of El Niño occurring later this year are supported by large amounts of heat in the subsurface ocean and the expected weakening of low-level trade winds.
"If El Niño does form, the potential strength remains highly uncertain, with a one in three chance of it being 'strong' during October through December 2026," says NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.
What are La Niña and El Niño?
La Niña (Spanish for 'the girl') is the most common phenomenon that occurs when the Pacific trade winds tend to blow from east to west, pushing warm surface waters towards the western Pacific.
This causes cold water to 'rise' or rise from the depths of the ocean, making sea surface temperatures colder on average, especially in the Americas.
El Niño can be caused by a series of bursts of tropical winds from the west that weaken or even reverse these trade winds. When this happens, warm surface water flows back toward South America, where the warming of the surface waters prevents the rise of cold, deep waters.
El Niño, which occurs irregularly and usually lasts about a year, tends to increase global temperatures, which in turn can result in more extreme weather, such as flooding.
This is because for every 1℃ increase in air temperature, the atmosphere can hold about seven percent more moisture, leading to more intense and dense rainfall. El Niño can also intensify heat waves in the tropics, which is why El Niño years are often among the warmest on record.
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